Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.023742 0.028697 0.033904 0.039739 0.046057 0.052655 0.060033
2026-02-08 0.014861 0.021408 0.028849 0.037722 0.047836 0.058853 0.071621
2026-02-15 0.009974 0.017178 0.025993 0.037064 0.050183 0.064902 0.082369
2026-02-22 0.007206 0.014792 0.024721 0.037727 0.053599 0.071789 0.093730
2026-03-01 0.005249 0.012981 0.023791 0.038492 0.056881 0.078316 0.104502
2026-03-08 0.003997 0.011866 0.023548 0.039939 0.060843 0.085527 0.115966
2026-03-15 0.002848 0.010581 0.022863 0.040657 0.063788 0.091442 0.125845
2026-03-22 0.002588 0.010819 0.024332 0.044199 0.070244 0.101548 0.140639
2026-03-29 0.001503 0.009024 0.022557 0.043218 0.070875 0.104548 0.146976
2026-04-05 0.000960 0.008132 0.022042 0.043875 0.073530 0.109956 0.156131
2026-04-12 0.000489 0.007052 0.021069 0.043787 0.075150 0.114045 0.163666
2026-04-19 0.000222 0.006285 0.020513 0.044226 0.077410 0.118887 0.172080
2026-04-26 0.000043 0.005374 0.019636 0.044231 0.079202 0.123309 0.180207
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003929 0.017460 0.042130 0.078074 0.124019 0.183801
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003082 0.016275 0.041438 0.078788 0.127006 0.190139
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002686 0.015994 0.042141 0.081404 0.132399 0.199422
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002358 0.015800 0.042951 0.084150 0.137948 0.208888
2026-05-31 NaN 0.002215 0.016048 0.044482 0.087907 0.144797 0.219966
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001932 0.015853 0.045241 0.090555 0.150203 0.229249
2026-06-14 NaN 0.002248 0.017396 0.048981 0.097468 0.161153 0.245436
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001655 0.016179 0.047947 0.097527 0.163185 0.250514
2026-06-28 NaN 0.001427 0.015980 0.048639 0.100048 0.168411 0.259564
2026-07-05 NaN 0.001110 0.015360 0.048547 0.101408 0.172102 0.266686